I'm a maryland boy too! Today is a beautiful day...not a cloud in the sky, which is good weather for climbing up to my roof to unclog my gutters before Isabel swings by.

We had unexpected hail here yesterday (and a really low low last night).  I
can only imaging that Isabel is playing tricks with the weather.  But, as I
said yesterday when it started with the cold rain "Fall has fallen" on
Michigan.  (Which, I'm OK with because I love fall!)

KarmaGirl
My favorite season is autumn too!

Christopher, where in Maryland are you?

Um Aqua where exactly are you at? If I might Ask? Since when I look out my window that Track line is going right over my head also

Fayetteville, NC

I'm looking at three weather sites right now. One has the predicted course nailing Washington D.C. head on, one has it nailing me head on, and the other one shows it going feet dry somewhere in Virginia.

Since my last post the one that had it aiming it towards me has been updated, now it'll look like we'll still get hurricane force winds, but no longer being cored.

Clear blue sky, no wind and 80°F here in the UK.

We've usually started our Autumn storms by now, but not this year

Xerraire - I'm in Towson Maryland, just north of Baltimore. Even with the perfect weather today the grocery store was packed, the bottle water isle empty. Guess we take this stuff seriously, just in the past year we've have terrorists, snipers, massive blizzards and now possibly Isabel?

C

Gotta love Maryland! I am in Harford County! Just moved here from Anne Arundel County.
I think I am at a higher elevation than my last residence at least!
But we are surrounded by water no matter where you go.

Before the hurricane got here we already have had one road flooded yesterday, - did you hear that one?

Anne Arundel County is nice I lived in Cape Saint Clair for a couple of years (a few miles north of Annapolis)

Glad I moved, I was only one block from the beach, I wonder if the house will still be there in a few days...

going to Myrtle Beach South Carolina tommorrow to check out the waves By the way I'm an Air force Meteorologist. Pray for those in the path of Isabel.

Gotta love Maryland! I am in Harford County!

Where at in Harford County? Thats where I am located, in Edgewood nice to see some locals

Bones I am up the road then, in Abingdon

cool just hope this hurricane leaves us alone, too much water round here if ya know what i mean!! Im done swimming for the summer

5 AM EDT WED SEP 17 2003

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT AND
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT ISABEL HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN
STRENGTH OR ORGANIZATION DURING THE PAST 6 HR. THE LATEST CENTRAL
PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE AIRCRAFT IS 958 MB...AND THE MAXIMUM 700
MB WINDS THUS FAR ARE 103 KT. THE AIRCRAFT IS REPORTING A 25-NM
WIDE EYE SIMILAR TO A FEATURE SEEN IN SATELLITE IMAGERY. HOWEVER...
THE AIRCRAFT FIXES ARE SOUTHWEST OF THE SATELLITE FIXES...AND THERE
IS NO WIND MAXIMUM ASSOCIATED WITH THE APPARENT EYEWALL. INDEED...
THE RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS IS 50-70 NM. THE MAXIMUM WINDS REMAIN
95 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS NOW 335/8. THERE IS NO CHANGE IN THE FORECAST
TRACK PHILOSOPHY FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. ISABEL SHOULD
CONTINUE TO TRACK GENERALLY NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD BETWEEN A DEEP-
LAYER RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND A DEVELOPING MID/UPPER-
LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES. THE DYNAMICAL
MODELS ARE VERY TIGHTLY CLUSTERED AROUND A LANDFALL IN EASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA IN ABOUT 36 HR...AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS DOWN
THE MIDDLE OF THIS GUIDANCE. AFTER LANDFALL...ISABEL SHOULD TRACK
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD OR PERHAPS NORTHWESTWARD FOR 12 HR OR SO...THEN
RECURVE NORTHWARD AND NORTHEASTWARD IN FRONT OF THE STRONG DEEP-
LAYER TROUGH MOVING EASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN UNITED STATES.
THE NEAR-UNANIMOUS GUIDANCE MAKES THIS A HIGH CONFIDENCE
FORECAST...BUT THOSE AWAY FROM THE FORECAST TRACK SHOULD NOT LET
DOWN THEIR GUARD JUST IN CASE THE GUIDANCE PROVES TO BE UNANIMOUSLY
WRONG.

THE INTENSITY FORECAST REMAINS VERY PROBLEMATIC. ISABEL CURRENTLY
LACKS A TIGHT CENTRAL CORE AND STRONG CONVECTION...AND EVEN IN
FAVORABLE CONDITIONS WOULD LIKELY BE SLOW TO INTENSIFY. VERTICAL
SHEAR AND POSSIBLY DRY AIR STILL SEEM TO BE AFFECTING THE
SYSTEM...SO ANY SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING WOULD LIKELY HAVE TO WAIT
FOR AT LEAST 12 HR UNTIL THE NEGATIVELY-TILTED SHORTWAVE TROUGH
DEVELOPS OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES AND IMPROVES THE
OUTFLOW. EVEN THEN...THERE IS A QUESTION OF WHETHER THE SHEAR WILL
DECREASE ENOUGH TO ALLOW STRENGTHENING. AN ADDITIONAL COMPLICATION
IS A SURFACE FRONT BETWEEN ISABEL AND THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST...
WITH OBSERVATIONS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA OF COOL AIR WITH
DEWPOINTS BELOW 20C. INGESTING THAT AIR WOULD LIKELY INHIBIT
STRENGTHENING. THE INTENSITY FORECAST WILL REMAIN 95 KT UNTIL
LANDFALL BASED MAINLY ON THE PREMISE THAT THE LARGE AND SPRAWLING
VORTEX WILL BE SLOW TO RESPOND TO CHANGES IN THE ENVIRONMENT...
EITHER FAVORABLE OR UNFAVORABLE. HOWEVER...OTHER POSSIBLE
SCENARIOS INCLUDE STRENGTHENING DUE TO FORCING FROM THE TROUGH...
AND WEAKENING DUE TO VERTICAL SHEAR AND COLD AIR INTRUSION.

Thanks for the update Looks (from other maps) like I'll be on the edge of the hurricane strength winds instead of being cored as predicted earlier.

The east side of town is evacuating, but we've been told that the west side doesn't need to.

"Where at in Harford County? Thats where I am located, in Edgewood nice to see some locals"


I live in Edgewood, also! Didn't think I'd find anyone other than relatives from Harford County!

Fuzzy
I am in Abingdon!

Cool we'll have to get a wc party goin on up in MD

Hold ON!!

A hurricane party!

whew! WINDY!!

Where is this Hurricane Isabelle located?

right now in North Corolina I think.

Fuzzy its getting windy, yes! Its going to get worse too I think!

ISABEL MADE LANDFALL ON THE OUTER BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA NEAR DRUM
INLET...BETWEEN CAPE LOOKOUT AND OCRACOKE ISLAND...NEAR 17Z THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH WINDS ESTIMATED NEAR 85 KT. A GPS DROPSONDE
REPORTED SURFACE WINDS OF 83 KT ABOUT AN HOUR BEFORE LANDFALL A FEW
MILES FROM CAPE HATTERAS IN THE NORTHEAST EYEWALL. THE STEPPED
FREQUENCY MICROWAVE RADIOMETER ON BOARD THE NOAA P-3 AIRCRAFT
REPORTED SURFACE WINDS OF 90 KT AT 1707Z IN THE SAME AREA...AND
ANOTHER MEASUREMENT OF 82 KT WAS REPORTED ABOUT AN HOUR EARLIER.
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT MEASURED PEAK FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS OF 118 KT.
THE AIRCRAFT MEASUREMENTS WERE CONFIRMED BY GROUND-BASED DOPPLER
RADARS. A LARGE NUMBER OF DROPSONDES IN ISABEL INDICATE THAT
SURFACE WINDS WERE AVERAGING ABOUT 70% OF THE FLIGHT-LEVEL VALUES
OVER THE LAST DAY OR TWO...AND THIS ALSO YIELDS ABOUT 83 KT FOR A
PEAK SURFACE WIND ESTIMATE.

ISABEL CONTINUES INLAND...AND WHILE THERE HAS BEEN SOME SHARPENING
UP OF THE EYEWALL AFTER LANDFALL...THE MAXIMUM WINDS SHOULD BE
DECREASING. GIVEN THE PRESENT ORGANIZATION OF THE CORE AND THE
LARGE AND STRONG CIRCULATION ALOFT...THE FORECAST DECREASE OF WIND
IS SLOWER THAN INDICATED BY THE DECAY SHIPS MODEL GUIDANCE. THE
STRONG WINDS ALOFT WILL BE FELT IN THE FORM OF HURRICANE FORCE WIND
GUSTS WELL INLAND OVER THE ELEVATED TERRAIN OF NORTHERN VIRGINIA
AND WESTERN MARYLAND...AS WELL AS ON HIGH RISE BUILDINGS AND OTHER
STRUCTURES IN MAJOR METROPOLITAN AREAS NEAR AND ESPECIALLY EAST OF
THE PATH OF ISABEL.

THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE CHANGE TO THE FORECAST TRACK. ISABEL IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL WITHIN 36 HOURS AND BE ABSORBED
AFTER 48 HOURS.