Battle Predictor Under 1.71.495696

Here is a link to a save file on DropBox that you can use to replicate what I describe below:

https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/1fs9pr9w9t1op5v123igg/Battle-Predictions-Under-1.71.495696.GC4Sav?rlkey=ctp7gvutkg61lw3tf4fx7dijr&dl=0

You will find the fleets described below just below the planet named "Galas I".

 

I have a situation where the "Battle Prediction" you get when you select one of your fleets, then hover over an enemy fleet, is much different than the "Battle Predictions" you get in the "Confirm Battle" screen.

My selected fleet is shown in the first screen snapshot below on the left.  4 of my 7 ships are Dreadnaughts, each of which has a carrier module.

The Onyx Hive fleet is shown on the right and, while it has 20 ships to my 7, its Combat rating is only 32 vs. my 40 and it has only half of my fleet's available hit points.  However, the Battle Prediction (at the bottom of the Onyx Hive fleet description) says that I will suffer a "Total Loss" while the Onyx Hive fleet will only suffer "Light Casualties".

However, when I attack anyway and the screen comes up to ask me to confirm that I want to attack, now the "Battle Predictions" say that I will suffer "Extreme Casualties" and the Onyx Hive will suffer a "Total Loss".

Question:  Why are the predictions different?  Shouldn't the game use the same logic to assess the outcome of a battle regardless of where the question is asked?

I ask the question from the point of view of a player who expects that a.) the predictions will be consistent, and b.) the predictions will be accurate.  If you start to hear reasons why the code that generates the predictions needs to be different, stop!  The predictions need to be consistent and accurate, period.

The actual Battle Report shows that the Onyx Hive fleet did, in fact, suffer a "Total Loss" while I lost all of my carrier fighters (which will regenerate), 2 Frigate-class ships and 1 of my Dreadnaughts.  This shows that the prediction in the battle confirmation screen was much more accurate than the prediction I got in the main screen.  We can quibble over whether my losses constitute "Extreme Casualties" or not, but there should be no disagreement over whether the predictions should be consistent and accurate.

  

4,658 views 2 replies
Reply #1 Top

Battle Prediction should be dependent on a military academy or a military leader. The better the leader/academy, the better the prediction.

Reply #2 Top

Quoting PalaceGuardian, reply 1

Battle Prediction should be dependent on a military academy or a military leader. The better the leader/academy, the better the prediction.
End of PalaceGuardian's quote

Within the context of this game, what military academy or military leader is involved in making the battle prediction?  Are different ones involved in making predictions for the same battle depending on whether you are thinking about attacking or after you have decided to attack?

My point was that the game should give consistent predictions within the contraints of probability and chance.