I just read on one of our local news websites that Russia is slowly pulling back from the Ukraine capital, Kyiv, and other regions in the North. The Russians are saying that the 1st phase of the war is over and now they are concentration on Donbas.... which was the primary concern at the beginning of the war. If that was truly the case, why were so many Ukranian cities beseiged and bombed into oblivion.
To be honest, I find Russian responses to questions from the West to be suspect and laced with part truth and complete untruths. For instance, the 1st phase of the war is over so troops are 'so-say' pulling back to concentrate on Donbas. For mine the actual truth is that they were bogged down by stiff Ukrainian resistance and logistical issues.
Still, the desired result is for a Russian cease fire and total withdrawal... to pay Ukraine war reparations to help rebuild what they've destroyed. I don't know that final part will ever happen, but the, the international courts may deem they do so.
I think it was Reagan who said Verify then Agree and maybe he got it from Gorbachev.
I too am seeing the same things in the news feeds. Ukraine , it's President and the people will have to have a referendum if any territory is given to the RF. I am also getting some first hand news from mates on the ground serving as Foreign Fighters through secure means i will not go into.
Putin now needs an outro that saves face for him and his control over the RF. We have all seen how badly this whole thing has gone for Putin, so he after realising this, is of coarse saying he will pull back troops and concentrate on the Donbas Region, this is what he wanted all along to join up territory with Crimea.
Putin and his Army always resort to absolute Destruction, they dare not get bogged even further down by going into the cities, it would be a Bloodbath as the Ukrainian people will fight for every street, every house and the loss of life would be horrific.
The Russian Federation is starting to suffer due to sanctions, none of this occurred on the same scale during the previous Land grabs and was a huge shock to Putin.
Understanding War, i am afraid Putin's Army will be re supplying and digging in, i hope they pull back but will only believe this stalling tactic when i actually see it.
My Government is now shipping in NLAW and Javelin anti-tank missiles, and Starstreak anti-air missiles, the later is longer range and will hopefully allow the Ukrainian Fighters to hit the RF hard and give some protection from the Bombing.
If all members remember my earlier comments about Advisers being sent to train Ukraine in there use, this is standard practice, and as the Tech (Lethal Aid) becomes more complicated, so does the learning curve, our troops get six months training, but we are trying to condense this to get that tech onto the field sooner. Putin said , no NATO troop countries boots in Ukraine, so the Ukrainian Fighters are crossing the border to Poland were we are waiting with both the Tech and the know how in it's use.
I am sorry starkers as i can not see a time when RF forces will leave Ukraine, they can not lose face like that, especially now after they have lost so many men and high ranking Generals, they actually think Crimea and Donbas is there's to control.
We must remember most Russians are out of the loop and are fed Pro RF crap, some will know the bigger picture but with the threat of Jail will mostly stay quite. War Crimes are a different thing altogether, The UN has already put together a unit of top people to start the investigation. RF troops are Raping at will, this is a Command issue, either there commanders are allowing it or turning a Blind Eye. No man i have ever served with(even as a PMC) would Dare to even try this as i was a strong commander who would Court Marshall them on the spot, they would not be one of us if they tried this and would be treated as a criminal and would never work again as a PMC anywhere.
It will take time, but war crimes will be followed up, people will pay and i am afraid more crimes will be committed before the end.
Putin has no trust left in the western world, several times he has openly lied on record, even the UN security Council has said his explanation of events is "Complete Nonsense"
Europe and to some extent the western world will be forever changed by this Invasion, RF can never be trusted to keep there word in International affairs and rightly so. The everyday Russian citizens who played no part in this war will also suffer greatly, probably going backwards to cold war ques for food and goods as more western brands pull out and the sanctions become tighter and tighter. The mighty Russian Military have proved to be more mighty mouse than anything else, but as they have over 6 thousand Nuclear weapons , with over 1500 actually deployed and ready to go, we have to step carefully . A Megalomaniac Liar who has gone Rogue with even half those weapon systems and with his back against the wall, is a very dangerous man.
Slava Ukraini .